← All cascade autopsies
Descriptive record: not a forecast. This page records what our liquidation map showed before this cascade (snapshot timestamps shown), what then happened on our multi-venue tape, and the model's measured historical record as it stood before the event. Every accuracy figure carries its sample size and a Wilson 95% lower bound. It does not predict future price moves and does not claim the model forecasts when a cascade will start.
Cascade Autopsy: BTC, 2026-05-28
2026-05-28T03:59:45Z → 04:04:39Z UTC · generated 2026-08-26T03:39:02Z · artifact 2026-05-28T0359-BTC
What happened
Venues
binance, bybit, okx
Direction
predominantly SHORT liquidations (69% of events), price rose
| Symbol | Liquidated | Events | Share |
|---|
| BTCUSDT | $37.9M | 657 | 47.5% |
| ETHUSDT | $29.2M | 309 | 36.6% |
| SOLUSDT | $2.4M | 269 | 3.0% |
| DOGEUSDT | $2.0M | 140 | 2.5% |
| SUIUSDT | $1.7M | 190 | 2.1% |
Timeline (UTC, minute by minute)
| Minute | Events | Liquidated | Top symbol | Venues |
|---|
| 03:58 | 4 | $8,721 | LINKUSDT | binance, bybit |
| 03:59 | 15 | $52,627 | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 04:00 | 32 | $72,722 | DOTUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 04:01 | 166 | $786,899 | ADAUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 04:02 | 2,223 | $78.7M | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 04:03 | 20 | $230,078 | BTCUSDT | binance, bybit, okx |
| 04:04 | 6 | $14,132 | ETHUSDT | binance, bybit |
Venue breakdown
| Venue | Liquidated | Events |
|---|
| binance | $58.2M | 509 |
| bybit | $20.4M | 1,688 |
| okx | $1.2M | 249 |
Independent re-read of our own captured tape (verify: PASS). Cross-venue capture is the product moat.
What the map showed BEFORE the cascade
No pre-cascade map snapshot exists for this symbol (level capture not active for it at that time, or outside the retention window). We do not reconstruct or backfill a before-map, since that would be look-ahead.
The measured record, as it stood before this cascade
No calibration record predating this cascade was found.
The map these autopsies came from is live
Every autopsy here is built from liquidation-level snapshots the product published in real time, before the event. The delayed map and the full measured track record are open without an account, every figure with its sample size and a Wilson 95% bound. Real time is Pro: $79/mo, Founding 50 from $39/mo. The free account needs no card.
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